Future Land Cover Scenarios
DRB2100 Version 3.1 builds on DRB2070 Version 2, representing revised alternative forecasts of urban land cover in the Delaware River Basin (DRB) out to 2100. Version 3.1 includes the “Corridors” and “Centers” scenarios and also adds another two scenarios, considering “Non-Protection” scenarios for both urban growth scenarios. These “Non-Protection” scenarios consider the “what if” scenario: “what if land protections were to be entirely removed?” These scenarios allow us to envision what the future landscape would look like without protected areas, highlighting the potential value of our existing protected lands network.
DRB2100 Version 3.1 Product Documentation (PDF)
ArcGIS OnLine (Interactive Web Maps)
Access Databases for NHD Catchments and HUC12 Watersheds (Zip Files)
Summaries for NHD Catchments and HUC12 Watersheds (Zip Files)
Raster Data (Zip Files)
- Centers Scenario (85.1 MB)
- Centers Non-Protection Scenario (94.5 MB)
- Corridors Scenario (96.9 MB)
- Corridors Non-Protection Scenario (110.4 MB)
Model My Watershed Integration (Application for Visualization and Analysis)
Archived DRB2100 Version 2.0- Baseline Scenario
- ArcGIS online tool to explore DRWI Cluster Development: https://arcg.is/1neLqS
- Data files for GIS professionals as proportion developed for NHDPlus catchments (2001, 2011, 2030, 2070) with ArcMap document (.mxd) for quick visualization: Download (~20 MB)
- Supplementary documentation: product description, DRWI webinar, and presentation slides.
Our collaborators at the USGS modeled land cover to 2070 using the Chesapeake Bay Land Change Model. A comparison of these two products will soon be available to review. In the long term, we hope that our data can be integrated into the Stream Reach Assessment Tool.
Let us know how you anticipate using our mapping and modeling tools!
High-Resolution Land Cover Data
- High-Resolution Land Cover (basin-wide)
Delaware River Basin and Chesapeake Bay Watershed– UVM SAL, 2016 - High-Resolution Land Cover (43 intersecting counties)
Delaware River Basin– UVM SAL, 2016 - High-Resolution Land Cover (individual counties)– or use this interactive map
Delaware River Basin– UVM SAL, 2013 - High-Resolution Land Cover (New Jersey)
Delaware River Basin– UVM SAL, 2017 - High-Resolution Land Cover (Pennsylvania)
Chesapeake Bay Watershed and Delaware River Basin– UVM SAL, 2013 - High-Resolution Land Cover (Delaware)
Delaware River Basin– UVM SAL, 2016
Data is also available for the Delmarva peninsula through the Chesapeake Conservancy.